How Russia Lost the Ability to Leave the Central African Republic

When armed groups attacked the border post of Am-Dafok in northeastern CAR on 30 June 2026, most analysts asked the familiar question: who was behind the attack, and how resilient is Russia’s presence? The right question is different. Why can Russia not simply leave the Central African Republic — even if it wanted to? The answer changes how we understand the nature of external military presence in post-patronage Africa. Not Wagner, Not Africa Corps: A System. The debate over whether the transition from Wagner to Africa Corps is complete misses the point. The rebranding is real. The architecture did not […]
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